My wife and I have raised two sons. We are very proud of both of them. Both are great parents and very thoughtful people.

Our younger son responded recently to a piece that was decidedly pro-Trump that I sent to him ( Victor Davis Hanson – How American Journalism Died ). He is very good about being willing to read and discuss things even when they do not mesh with his thinking. This is very refreshing since most of my ‘progressive’ friends do not wish to discuss politics. They prefer to spout liberal talking points and indulge in character assassination.

He asked a very good question: “Do you really feel that Trump has accomplished a lot?” “I’m genuinely curious, because by my count,” he went on, “even on conservative priorities, he hasn’t done much at all (other than confirm conservative judges).” My immediate reaction to the question is that to not know of Mr. Trump’s many, varied accomplishments requires that you only read sources like the New York Times, Washington Post, etc. who routinely downplay or hardly mention anything contrary to the liberal view of our world.

So here is my answer to “What has Mr. Trump accomplished?”:

  1. The Middle East. No previous President has been able to accomplish more in the Middle East than Donald Trump. He hired the right people to negotiate with Middle Eastern states and the result is a blockbuster treaty between Israel and Egypt. The recent Agreements between the UAE and Bahrain and Israel fall not far behind the Egypt-Israel deal. The mainstream media gave it little press. Had this been accomplished under Mr. Obama, it would have led to a second Nobel Peace Prize and more ink than they gave to ObamaCare. Mr. Obama, by the way, never even visited Israel until his second term. That alone telegraphed his lack of sincerity about Middle East peace. Mr. Trump has enforced both U.S. and U.N. sanctions on Iran putting them back in a box to the point where their support of Middle East terrorism is greatly diminished, ISIS is all but defunct, Syria and Libya are both returning to a more normal state.
  2. China. Mr. Trump has stood up to the Chinese government who is robbing us of our technology, flooding our streets with fentanyl, using slaves and prisoners to manufacture goods to outcompete us. They continue to add more air pollution than any other nation.
  3. Manufacturing. Mr. Trump’s efforts have resulted in the return to the U.S. of over 400,000 manufacturing jobs. Much of this was due to reductions in overbearing rules and regulations not burdening overseas competitors. A lot of the improvement was due to tax reductions included in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA).
  4. NATO. Mr. Trump has caused most European nations to finally live up to their agreements to fund NATO in a more equitable manner.
  5. NAFTA. As promised in his campaign for the presidency, Mr. Trump authored a renegotiation of the NAFTA agreement to the advantage of the U.S.A.
  6. Southern Border/Illegal Immigration. Mr. Trump’s administration has supported the Border Patrol with completion of hundreds of miles of new and improved border ‘walls’ and fences. He has caused increased enforcement of immigration law.
  7. Economy. Mr. Trump has presided over the greatest improvement in our economy, possibly ever, prior to the Covid 19 pandamic.
  8. Unemployment. Unemployment has been lower under Mr. Trump’s watch than at any time in the past 50 years.
  9. Space Force. The Trump Administration has recognized that Militarization in Space is already a fact of life with the Russians and Chinese badly outspending us in military use and even weaponizing space.
  10. Decriminalizing Homosexuality/Conviction of Human Traffickers. The Trump administration has been leading a global drive to decriminalize homosexuality. Human Trafficking convictions have doubled. We have provided free HIV drugs to over 200,000 uninsured patients.
  11. Prescription Drug prices. Prescription Drugs have been lowered in cost by actions of the Trump Administration.
  12. Energy Self Sufficiency. The U.S. became the world’s largest Energy producer, eclipsing Saudi Arabia and Russia. Much of this was due to lessening burdensome regulations not faced by other producers. A lot of the increased production was due to innovation and the opening of means of transport for oil and natural gas.
  13. Climate. Withdrew USA from Paris Climate Accord yet the USA still leads the world in reduction of Carbon Emissions.
  14. The Courts. Has seated more conservative judges at all levels.
  15. Israel. Moved U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem.
  16. Environmental Protections. Increased Public lands by over 1,000,000 acres and created new National Monuments with the signing of the largest public lands bill in over a decade.

This is an incomplete list of Mr. Trump’s accomplishments. Most amazing to me is that he has done all these things while fighting attempts to impeach him based on fraud, lies, and fantasies. The Russia Collusion hoax, after over two years of investigation, resulted in no proof and which showed to have more conspiracy by the accusers than by Mr. Trump or his people. The abuses of the FISA system alone showed how desperate the Democrats were to overturn the election of 2016.

Mr. Trump’s efforts to clean up bad actors in numerous federal agencies has gained him the undying hatred of those who want things to stay as they are: a country where a Democrat can use a private email server to share classified documents to her benefit and not be brought to justice even after illegally wiping evidence from her hard drives, a country where government agencies can collude to prevent a President from taking office and then attempt to remove him from office by illegally spying on him and his people, a country where the Internal Revenue Service can be used as a tool to suppress conservative organizations……..

I ask myself the question, What motivates Mr. Trump? It must be his ego and his love of his country. The ego seems to be an essential part of the psyche of any major politician. It’s not pretty, but it seems to come with the package – can’t think of any recent exceptions. It can’t be money and power. He had more money prior to becoming President. He had plenty of power without all the problems associated with being President. He gave up a great deal of freedom to do this job. Ask the same question of the Clintons or the Obamas or Mr. Biden or Ms. Harris. All have become wealthier and more powerful since entering politics.

Last, I would ask, What has Mr. Biden done in 40+ years to compare to even one of the above accomplishments of Mr. Trump? And, do you truly believe that Mr. Biden is mentally and physically competent to do the job he hopes to have?

I listen to Armstrong and Getty, a morning talk show, when I can.  Lately, there has been an advertisement on the nationally syndicated show warning that Congress is going to increase U. S. Postal Service Package rates by an amount four times what they are now.  The ad suggests that you should contact Congress and demand they not raise rates.

Among the arguments they give to not raise the rates is that this will hurt both small businesses and individuals in rural areas where they are dependent on USPS package deliveries.

I wondered, what person or group would spend the money for such ads and why?  Color me skeptical, but I can’t imagine any group of rural dwellers or small businesses that would find this such an important issue that they would devote scarce resources to these ads.  I wonder if it is a company like Amazon that is behind such ads.


It has been widely reported that the USPS delivers parcels for Amazon and loses money with every delivery.  With the Post Office losing Millions (Billions?) of dollars each year on carrying parcels it means we, taxpayers, are subsidizing parcel delivery.  Who stands to gain the most from taxpayer funded delivery?  My guess is that the big winner is Amazon.

Contrary to the argument in the advertisement that individuals living in rural areas and small businesses will lose the most if rates rise, I believe local businesses lose the most.  If, due to subsidized shipping, Amazon can offer the same product at the same or better price as your local shop (because they don’t have the bricks and mortar overhead), small businesses, especially in rural areas will not be able to compete.  When local businesses can no longer operate profitably against tax subsidized rivals, rural residents will not have the option to buy locally.

Instead of asking Congress not to raise package rates, why not ask that the USPS be paid fairly by Amazon and others?  Instead, suggest that tax dollars not be used to subsidize favored private enterprises.

Additions to yesterday’s predictions:

  1. Not quite like the Baby Boom after WWII but with all the shelter-in-place time, we can count on a huge increase in newborns, worldwide, this coming December, January, and February (2021).
  2. We can also assume that too much togetherness can have the opposite effect so expect more divorces than normal the rest of this year.
  3. Restaurant delivery services, like Grubhub and Doordash will show banner 1st and 2nd quarter results but look for them to come back to earth starting this summer.

More in a week

Young woman Gypsy using a crystal ball.

Below are some random predictions as of April 8, 2020 as to what the future holds for the remainder of 2020:

  1.  By the end of April 2020, we will all know the true hair color of most of our friends and family.
  2. Most of the new laws/regulations/government policies that, we are told, were enacted to deal with the Corona Virus will continue to be in force for years to come.
  3. The DOW will return to 25,500 or higher by year end.
  4. Most major companies that now farm out work to Chinese producers will have made a serious effort to find other sources and we will see far more “Made in Indonesia”, “Made in Vietnam”, “Made in India”, “Made in Honduras”.  Anything made in America will prominently display/market that fact.
  5. Joe Biden will not be the Presidential candidate for the Democrat Party.
  6. Gas prices will continue to be at lower levels than the past 5 years for the remainder of 2020.
  7. Supply chains will take a long time to heal.  Refilling the pipelines of things like wine (will miss most of an entire vintage), fresh produce (again we must wait at least one growing cycle), and manufacturing metals (foundries and mills take time and money to restart) will be very slow to get back to full production.

More predictions tomorrow and at least once a week as we shelter in place.

We all find and readily believe information and news that supports our beliefs.  That is human nature.  If you love your mother, you see her in the best light.  You see her work at the church, her caring way with your little sister, and her ability to make great meals on a tight budget.  You probably don’t see (or you block out) her alcoholism, her prejudices against those who are not like her, and her terrible taste in music.

Performers play to the audience for whom they perform.  Politicians make promises that fit the audience to whom they are speaking.  News Media outlets tailor their content to fit the demographic to whom they sell their information/news.


Take the New Yorker, for example.  This Manhattan-centric magazine fancies itself to be among the most important sources of news and information in the world.  “Today The New Yorker is considered by many to be the most influential magazine in the world, renowned for its in-depth reporting, political and cultural commentary, fiction, poetry, and humor.”  or so they say on their website  And to prove how proud they are of themselves, they are currently running an ad campaign saying. “The New Yorker, Fighting Fake Stories with Real Ones.”

I’m sure that many, if not most, of their subscribers believe what the New Yorker prints because they want to believe it.  At the very least they accept news and information that only a ‘true believer’ could fail to question.  An article on September 23rd by Tad Friend, “Solve Climate Change?” illustrates this well.  Mr. Friend (dare I assume “he” is a Mr.?) wants you to believe that vegetable based “meat” products, like the Impossible Burger are a significant solution to reducing environmental costs through our eating habits.  I don’t think he makes a very good argument, but am fascinated by the “facts” he uses, without attribution, to tell his “Real Story.”

Did you know that, “One-third of the world’s arable land is used to grow feed for livestock” or that, “Razing forests to graze cattle—an area larger than South America has been cleared in the past quarter century—turns a carbon sink into a carbon spigot.”?  If you are a person who fits the New Yorker’s target demographic you will likely want to believe these two statements and not question them.

If you are open to questioning much of the Global Climate Change Mantra or at least not accepting every argument without question, you might try to understand what Mr. Friend is writing.  I interpret what he has written ( and believe he hopes you will interpret it) to mean that in the past 25 years, humans have deforested an area equal to the size of South America to graze cattle.  The South American land mass is just under 7,000,000 square miles or about 12% of earth’s land mass (easily found from numerous sources).  We have deforested 12% of earth’s land mass, in the last 25 years, for the purpose of cattle grazing?  Does that make sense to you?  We currently use almost one third of earth’s arable land mass to to grow feed for cattle?  Does that make sense to you?

I’m as skeptical of that as I am that the earth will cease to exist in 12 years if I don’t stop using plastic straws and plastic bags.  I think Mr. Friend (and his employers at the New Yorker) have very vivid imaginations.  Some would say they lie through their teeth to serve their far-left globalist agenda.

If you learn that a person tells a lie once, isn’t it incumbent on mature humans to question if that is the only lie that person has told/will tell.  Should you question if much or most of what that person says lacks truth?  That is the what I would assume of articles from the New Yorker.



Did you ever consider that you really don’t own your house?  Even if you pay off the mortgage and own it “free and clear”?  Well, you don’t.  Your friendly local government does.  But in the spirit of kindness, they are allowing you to stay in it and use it (and maintain it for them).  Don’t believe me?  Try not paying your property taxes and you will see who really owns it.

I had friends who bought a nice starter home in Northern California in 1950 using a 25 year mortgage.  By the time they made their last payment in 1975 and owned the house ‘outright’ their monthly tax bill was greater than the mortgage payment.  Yep.  The payment of $110 per month covered the principal, interest, and insurance on the loan for the $15,000 home.  In 1975, the home was assessed for $115,000 and the monthly property tax bill was $115 per month.  Today that house would assess for about $425,000 and the property tax would be almost $500 a month.   Yes, I know you can’t get a house in the Bay area for that low a price.  I just increased the value by the maximum 3% each year to show the absolute minimum assessment possible.  More likely?  $750,000 and tax of almost $1,000 per month.

Those sneaky folks in government have figured out lots of schemes to take what is yours.

Take for example, income tax.  You work.  You trade your skills, your time, your energy to an employer who pays you an agreed upon amount in this exchange.  And you think that amount, that money, is yours.  If, for example, your employer offers to pay you $100,000.00 to work for a year at your job, do you get $100,000.00?  Certainly not.  You only see about $70,000.00 of the $100,000.00.  The other $30,000.00 goes to your Federal, State, and local tax collectors.  But, like I said, they are sneaky.  We have had a Federal Income Tax for over 100 years.  People didn’t like getting their paycheck and then paying part of it to the government, but it was a fairly small percentage of their wage so people complied.  In the 1930s, the government added “Social Security” tax (1% at the time).  They decided to withhold the tax from your pay before you received it.  So, in fact, you never saw it.  It is hard to miss something you have never had, so there was little residtance.  Then in the 40s, to finance the war effort in World War II, the goverment decided to withhold your income tax, before you got your pay.  Again, you never saw the money, and, it was a relatively small amount (6% normal tax rate), and you were being patriotic helping the war effort.  When it is taken seamlessly before you see your “take-home pay”, it doesn’t hurt too bad.  If you had to write a check for 30% of your pay each week or each month, you might not accept it so quietly.

Now, most of our governments (Fed., State, and Local) have lots of debt.  They issue bonds and pay you interest so you will lend them the money to stay afloat.  If they are paying 4% on the bond you bought, it is in their best interest to see that inflation is at a rate of 4% or more so they effectively pay zero to use your money.  In fact, what they report as the inflation rate, the CPI ( the core Consumer Price Index) does not include food or energy costs.  So if the CPI is shown to be 2.5%, you can assume that the real number is considerable higher.  For grins, let’s just assume real inflation is 5%.  Let’s say  you had sold that houes for $115,000 and had zero capital gains tax.   Now say you took your $115,000 and “invested” it in Treasury Bills that pay you 4% annually.  With a 5% inflation rate, the value of the $115,000 would be about $74,000 today.  Not a very wise use of your money, but better than burying it in your back yard (it would be worth about $12,000.  But don’t worry, you would have paid about 25% capital gains tax on the sale of the house so you would have only had $86,250 to start, or buying power of about $9,000 today if you had buried the cash in your back yard.

So now, the latest way to take your money is Negative interest rates.  In Europe today, (and soon to come to America thanks to our Federal Reserve lowering interest rates), interest rates are negative.  If you put your $100,000 savings in a bank at -1% interest, you will have $99,000 at the end of the year, having paid $1,000 for the privilege of letting the bank lend out your money at a profit.  Oh, wait, inflation is 5% so your $99,000 is really only worth $94,050.  Why would my government do this to me?  If our government needs to pay back all those loans (bonds), won’t it be nicer to do that with Dollars that only cost $0.94 each to buy.  If they borrow that money for 8 years, they will be paying back with Dollars worth less than 50 cents each.  That’s a pretty big incentive to inflate the currency.  But won’t negative interest rates lower inflation?  If I don’t need to pay as much in interest, won’t that help lower inflation?  Actually, the lower interest rate is intended to encourage investment and economic growth.  With growth comes tighter labor supply and with that comes higher wages and yes, eventually inflation.

Do I know if we will get negative interest rates?  No.  Do I know if they will lead to inflation or deflation?  No.  Am I concerned that unelected Federal Reserve Bank officials can experiment with the value of our currency using us as guinea pigs?  Yes.

Why have we allowed our government to control so much of our lives?  Would we not be more free without government owning our homes, setting the value of our currency and therefore the value of our labors?  Have we sold our souls for security?  At what cost?

Dean Alfange said it best.  Here is his “My Creed”:

I do not choose to be a common man. It is my right to be uncommon—if I can. I seek opportunity—not security. I do not wish to be a kept citizen, humbled and dulled by having the state look after me. I want to take the calculated risk; to dream and to build, to fail and to succeed. I refuse to barter incentive for a dole. I prefer the challenges of life to the guaranteed existence; the thrill of fulfillment to the stale calm of utopia. I will not trade freedom for beneficence nor my dignity for a handout. I will never cower before any master nor bend to any threat. It is my heritage to stand erect, proud and unafraid; to think and act for myself, enjoy the benefit of my creations, and to face the world boldly and say, this I have done. All this is what it means to be an American.




There is much debate today about whether our country’s health care system should be nationalized – run by the government.  Like most Libertarians and Conservatives, I think we have ample proof that this is a very bad idea.

To give further input to why I think Government Health Care is a bad idea, I give you the USPS, the United States Postal Service as an example of how poorly government run entities fare when compared with privately operated ones.  The link below (CATO Institute Testimony) is to a fairly long but thorough look at the USPS, its massive economic problems, and some solutions that need to be considered.  Unfortunately, few of the needed reforms will pass the gauntlet of politics.  Just a single item, personnel cost, is very unlikely to be addressed because of the power of unions over the politicians who need to let/require the USPS to reign in personnel costs.
Screen Shot 2019-05-16 at 11.25.56 AM
I highly recommend reading “Uncle Sam, the Monopoly Man” (if you can find it – out of print since the ‘70s) which discusses many public goods and services and why we need to consider alternatives.  Almost 50 years ago it identified many of the problems faced by today’s Postal Service and suggested better alternatives.  Yet, here we are in 2019 with a Postal Service on track to lose in excess of $6 Billion this year and projected to lose $125 Billion over the next 10 years.
Even more important, read the CATO Institute testimony to the House Oversight Committee earlier this year – Restructuring the U.S. Postal Service:
Were you aware that the average USPS employee costs our government over $85,000 per employee while it is just over $76,000 for each UPS Employee (mostly union members) and under $60,000 for each FedEx Employee (non-union)?
And that’s just a start.

On July 21st, this year, we will celebrate the 50th anniversary of the first humans to set foot on the surface of the moon.  Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin and the thousands who worked together on Apollo 11 uplifted our spirit and made us come together as a nation.  We (they) proved, that if we set our goals high enough and work together we can accomplish the “impossible.Apollo 11

I’m not a fan of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.  I think she is naive, young, very taken with herself (and her newfound power).  Her ‘Green New Deal’ plan is just one short step outside the door of the insane asylum.  In order to achieve her dream of zero emissions and a ‘green’ world, she has called for us to mount the type of unified effort that it took to put men on the moon.   Her GND plan is crazy, but the idea to dream of something bigger and more difficult than ever before accomplished is worthy of consideration.

JFK’s call to put a man on the moon was a call to unification for a nation then divided.  Kennedy had won a very close election, decided by about 100,000 votes often attributed to Nixon’s 5:00 o’clock shadow on TV.  How interesting that it was Nixon who was President when Mr. Kennedy’s dream came to fruition.  His dream saw the nation as proud and jubilant as at almost any time in history.

Putting a man on the Moon was a huge effort and a huge risk.  The chance of failure  was very real.  Literally millions of things had to go right but a single thing going wrong could have spelled disaster.   What if the Astronauts were landed on the Moon but unable to come back.  This was more than just a possibility as the return trip planning stretched our capabilities to the absolute limit.

Mr. Nixon had, of necessity, made plans for that.  William Safire, one of his speech writers had prepared a statement to be read by Nixon in case of failure.  You never think about that side of history,  the place that holds the defeated, the casualties, and those who fail. Who was the second man to break the 4-minute mile after Roger Bannister?  Who were the people in Britain’s first eight attempts who failed to climb Everest before Sir Edmund Hillary?   Can you name the men who died trying to be the first to sustain powered flight before the Wright Brothers succeeded?

Here is Safire’s speech.  In my view, it is a masterpiece.  It is wonderful that it was not needed:

Fate has ordained that the men who went to the moon to explore in peace will stay on the moon to rest in peace.

These brave men, Neil Armstrong and Edwin Aldrin, know that there is no hope for their recovery. But they also know that there is hope for mankind in their sacrifice.

These two men are laying down their lives in mankind’s most noble goal: the search for truth and understanding.

They will be mourned by their families and friends; they will be mourned by their nation; they will be mourned by the people of the world; they will be mourned by a Mother Earth that dared send two of her sons into the unknown.

In their exploration, they stirred the people of the world to feel as one; in their sacrifice, they bind more tightly the brotherhood of man.

In ancient days, men looked at stars and saw their heroes in the constellations. In modern times, we do much the same, but our heroes are epic men of flesh and blood.

Others will follow, and surely find their way home. Man’s search will not be denied. But these men were the first, and they will remain the foremost in our hearts.

For every human being who looks up at the moon in the nights to come will know that there is some corner of another world that is forever mankind.

Would it not be a great thing if we could again, as a nation, work together to strive for the moon?


What is withholding tax in Nigeria? NAIJA.NG


In my view, the implementation of tax withholding from payroll (codified in 1943) was the greatest single scam ever played on the citizens/taxpayers of the United States. By taking taxes from wage earners before they get their pay, the cost of taxes is disassociated from the labor.  People think in terms of ‘net pay’ or ‘spendable income’ not how much they have paid in taxes.

I am convinced that if everyone was paid their wage or salary and within 72 hours was required to write a check or pay cash to the IRS for taxes (that would otherwise have been withheld), most people would be much more aware.  They would be aware of how much it was costing them and they would consider what they are getting for that money.

Today, with our withholding system, very few people can tell you how much they pay annually to fund our government.  If they can, it is likely only once a year when they have just finished filing their tax returns.

This brings me to a suggestion to help make more people aware of the cost of their government.  Move Election day from the first Tuesday in November to the 2nd Sunday (or Saturday) in April.  This does two things.  First, Weekend voting, as is done in most nations, increases turnout.  Liberals say they want more turnout so they would like this.  Second, if people voted with tax preparation fresh in their minds, they might just vote for people with a slightly more fiscally conservative mindset.  Conservatives say they want to cut the cost of government so they would like this.

I would prefer to have the entire withholding system abolished.  However, a system which has been in place for 75 years would take a long time and amazing political capital to dismantle.  I think this suggestion has a better chance of being accomplished and would achieve some of the same goals.


Like most people in the United States, I’ve been distressed by the current state of political debate in the country.  Much of this was brought to a head last week with the public broadcast of the testimony of Dr. Christine Blasey Ford and Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

Anyone who watched more than 30 minutes of the ‘show’ could not help but see the circus for what it was: a piece of political theater with two purposes, to raise the public profile of the politician participants and to use the power of the press to derail a judicial confirmation.  Are there any other reasons why these two people needed to be publicly on display?  Had the purpose of the ‘investigation/interview’ been to help determine the validity of Dr. Ford’s allegation, there is no doubt in my mind that the Committee would have been better served to hold the meeting in private.

Used car salesmen have a bad reputation.  Most of that bad reputation is due to the fact that some salesmen hide the flaws in a car and embellish the positive aspects of the cars they sell.  The car salesmen who list all of the flaws and all of the strong points of a car allow the buyer to make an informed decision.  Those who hide the crack in the frame or who pour ‘honey’ into the crank case so the potential buyer can’t hear the flaws in the engine, do a disservice to the buyer for the sole purpose of making a sale that benefits only the salesman.

Today, people whom we call ‘journalists’ have a bad reputation.  Most of that bad reputation (“fake news”) is based on selective reporting of facts and opinions to create an outcome.  Journalists who report just the facts and who do not allow opinion to corrupt a report allow the reader/viewer to make an informed decision.  Those who cherry-pick the facts that they report or who lace their reports with unproven opinion instead of sticking to the facts, do a disservice to the public.

I would argue that last week media on both sides of the debate were in ‘used car sales mode’, not ‘reporter mode’.  Before reading/watching any report of the proceedings, you knew what would be ‘reported’ by any source based on their political leanings.  If you read Fox News, or Town Hall, or, you knew in advance that Mr. Kavanaugh’s participation and responses would be shown in a very positive light and that the Democrat Members of the Committee would be shown in a very dim one.  Similarly, if you went to CNN, MSNBC or the Washington Post, you were certain you would find opinion about Mr. Kavanaugh showing him to be a horrible human being and opinion that Dr. Ford was sweet and innocent and brave.  Almost every piece you could read or view could easily be shown to be intended to create feelings, emotions, prejudice, guilt, innocence, etc.  Almost no piece you could find would report facts that in any way proved or disproved that either side was right or wrong.

The media have a huge impact on public opinion and I guess it is naive of me to wish that most of the participants/producers of media content had decided early on to be reporters or journalists instead of the used car sales people that they prove daily to be.  Like many, I would love to know a source of news that is accurate and unbiased.

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